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Should I start Caleb Douglas or Jordan Watkins in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 2:31 PM ET.

Start Caleb Douglas: 76 percent of the snaps and 24 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jordan Watkins's 76 percent of the snaps and 12 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Jordan Watkins for Caleb Douglas?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Douglas projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 8 games), Jordan Watkins 26 (3.3 a game over 8 games).

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR66 · MIA · bye 6

Market-based projection
9.6 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
169

WR68 · SF · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
5.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
172

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The gap

  • Board size314 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 169th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jordan Watkins, and the board ranks him 172nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Caleb Douglas is 1.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Jordan Watkins is 1.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Caleb Douglas's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 81 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 37 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against DET he caught 6 of 8 targets for 70 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Jordan Watkins has been on the field for 56 percent of SF snaps, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 0 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 16.5 air yards.

In Week 6 against WAS he caught 1 of 1 target for 22 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he caught 3 of 6 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against LV he caught 4 of 4 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Jordan Watkins played 4 games and scored 4.6 PPR points, 1.2 a game.

He caught 2 of 3 targets for 26 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets.

That came to 0.8 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 13.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 7 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 56 percent.

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger target share, 22 percent against 8 percent.

Byes and availability

Caleb Douglas is off in Week 6 and Jordan Watkins in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jordan Watkins for Caleb Douglas?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Douglas projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 8 games), Jordan Watkins 26 (3.3 a game over 8 games).

  • Should I drop Caleb Douglas for Jordan Watkins?

    No. Keep Caleb Douglas: he projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 8 games), Jordan Watkins 26 (3.3 a game over 8 games).

Should I drop Caleb Douglas?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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