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Start Caleb Douglas or Adonai Mitchell? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 6:46 PM ET.

Start

WR · MIA · at IND

Market projects
9.2
fantasy pts
IND D vs WR
27.4
7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
79 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 9
Target share
22%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · NYJ · vs BUF

Market projects
7.4
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs WR
37.1
5th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
77 of 100 at WR
Snap share
70%
Through Week 9
Target share
23%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Caleb Douglas?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Douglas projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 24 (3.4 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Caleb Douglas over Adonai Mitchell.

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Caleb Douglas rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Caleb Douglas over Adonai Mitchell in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Caleb Douglas at 9.2 points and Adonai Mitchell at 7.4, a gap of 1.8. No player market is posted for Adonai Mitchell this week yet, so his 7.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (6.5, 5.4 and 10.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Caleb Douglas at ADP 215 and Adonai Mitchell at 195.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.2 fantasy points for Caleb Douglas, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Douglas is 42 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (6, 6 and 6 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Adonai Mitchell yet. His market-based projections were 6.5, 5.4 and 10.2 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 7.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Adonai Mitchell is 0.2 touchdowns (12 market sources).

That puts Caleb Douglas 1.8 points ahead of Adonai Mitchell on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Caleb Douglas and MIA visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 27.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND.

Adonai Mitchell and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 37.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 154 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against BUF.

By points allowed to the position, Adonai Mitchell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Caleb Douglas is not on the injury report.

Adonai Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Caleb Douglas played 81 percent of MIA snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Caleb Douglas, Week 2 against SF: 51 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Caleb Douglas, Week 7 against NYJ: 44 of 65 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 70 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Caleb Douglas, Week 8 against NE: 56 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards.

Caleb Douglas, Week 9 against DET: 42 of 57 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards.

Through Week 9, Adonai Mitchell played 70 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 50 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 7 against MIA: 26 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 8 against LV: 39 of 64 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 142 yards, 1 touchdown.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 9 against KC: 56 of 63 snaps, 7 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Caleb Douglas?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Douglas projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 24 (3.4 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Caleb Douglas over Adonai Mitchell.

  • Should I drop Caleb Douglas for Adonai Mitchell?

    No. Keep Caleb Douglas: he projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 24 (3.4 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Caleb Douglas over Adonai Mitchell.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?Should I drop Caleb Douglas?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board