Should I start Caleb Douglas or Treylon Burks in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Caleb Douglas's market-based projection is 8.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 89th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Treylon Burks's market-based projection is 6.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 97th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Douglas, and the board ranks him 71st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Treylon Burks, and the board ranks him 89th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Caleb Douglas has been on the field for 82 percent of MIA snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 14 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against SF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYJ he caught 2 of 3 targets for 70 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 8 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 43 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Treylon Burks has been on the field for 52 percent of WAS snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 17.6 air yards.

In Week 5 against NYG he caught 2 of 5 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against SF he caught 4 of 6 targets for 66 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against PHI he caught 3 of 5 targets for 81 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Caleb Douglas is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Treylon Burks played 8 games and scored 29.0 PPR points, 3.6 a game, finishing WR138.

He caught 10 of 22 targets for 130 yards and 1 touchdown, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 2.8 targets a game, a 45 percent catch rate and 13.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 52 percent.

This season Caleb Douglas holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 12 percent.

Byes and availability

Caleb Douglas is off in Week 6 and Treylon Burks in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.