Should I start Christian Watson or Carnell Tate in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Christian Watson's market-based projection is 15.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 35th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Carnell Tate's market-based projection is 11.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 57th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Christian Watson, and the board ranks him 22nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Carnell Tate, and the board ranks him 41st overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 9, Christian Watson has been on the field for 77 percent of GB snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 23 of the offence's 94 third down targets, had 3 of its 23 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 38 two minute targets.

His 74 targets have averaged 14.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against DET he caught 5 of 8 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CAR he caught 8 of 10 targets for 113 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against NE he caught 7 of 8 targets for 171 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Carnell Tate has been on the field for 82 percent of TEN snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 12 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 12.7 air yards.

In Week 5 against HOU he caught 1 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against IND he caught 6 of 7 targets for 70 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against CLE he caught 5 of 7 targets for 69 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Christian Watson played 10 games and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 18 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Carnell Tate is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Carnell Tate holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 77 percent.

This season Carnell Tate holds the bigger target share, 26 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

Christian Watson is off in Week 11 and Carnell Tate in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

Carnell Tate is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

3.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.