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Should I start Chase Brown or Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 10:21 AM ET.

Start Chase Brown: 68 percent of the snaps and 53 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 22 percent of the snaps and 18 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB6 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 2-5

Market-based projection
15.9 pts a game

RB20 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 3-4

Overall rank
37

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chase Brown, and the board ranks him 11th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 19.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chris Rodriguez Jr., and the board ranks him 37th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Chase Brown's market-based projection is 15.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 28th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 10.9 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 13 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Chase Brown has been on the field for 71 percent of CIN snaps, taken 63 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 4 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 43 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have come 0.7 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against MIA he carried 13 times for 39 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against BAL he carried 11 times for 39 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against TEN he carried 12 times for 55 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been on the field for 22 percent of JAX snaps, taken 18 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 5 third down targets.

His 1 target have averaged 3.0 air yards.

In Week 8 against IND he carried 6 times for 41 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 17 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chris Rodriguez Jr. played 13 games and scored 92.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing RB51.

He carried 112 times for 500 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 30 more yards.

That came to 8.6 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 0.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Chase Brown was available for 4 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Chase Brown scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Chris Rodriguez Jr. 7.1, 9.5 a game between them.

Chase Brown finished RB7 that year and Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB51.

Chase Brown had 120 more carries than Chris Rodriguez Jr., 232 to 112.

Chase Brown had 66 more catches than Chris Rodriguez Jr., 69 to 3.

This season Chase Brown holds the bigger snap share, 71 percent against 22 percent.

This season Chase Brown holds the bigger share of the carries, 63 percent against 18 percent.

Byes and availability

Chase Brown is off in Week 6 and Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Chris Rodriguez Jr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Chase Brown?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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