Should I start Chase Brown or Garrett Wilson in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Chase Brown's market-based projection is 15.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 32nd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Garrett Wilson's market-based projection is 14.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 42nd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chase Brown, and the board ranks him 22nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 19.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Garrett Wilson, and the board ranks him 24th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 9, Chase Brown has been on the field for 70 percent of CIN snaps, taken 60 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 5 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 45 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against BAL he carried 11 times for 39 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against TEN he carried 12 times for 55 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against ATL he carried 9 times for 57 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Garrett Wilson has been on the field for 88 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 28 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 20 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 63 targets have averaged 10.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against MIA he caught 2 of 3 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against LV he caught 6 of 12 targets for 83 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Garrett Wilson played 7 games and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 8.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Chase Brown was available for 10 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Chase Brown scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Garrett Wilson 14.2, 2.4 a game between them.

Chase Brown finished RB7 and Garrett Wilson WR62, which are two different ladders.

Chase Brown is a running back and Garrett Wilson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Chase Brown is off in Week 6 and Garrett Wilson in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Garrett Wilson is listed as out on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.