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Should I start Josh Downs or Chig Okonkwo in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 3:11 PM ET.

Start Josh Downs: 84 percent of the snaps and 19 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Chig Okonkwo's 75 percent of the snaps and 20 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Chig Okonkwo for Josh Downs?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 92 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 8 games), Chig Okonkwo 69 (7.7 a game over 9 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR60 · IND · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 1-7

Market-based projection
7.8 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
146

TE31 · WAS · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 0-4

Market-based projection
8.4 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
147

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The gap

  • Board size302 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 146th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chig Okonkwo, and the board ranks him 147th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 1.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Chig Okonkwo is 1.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Josh Downs's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 64 third down targets, had 0 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 10.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against TEN he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against MIN he caught 2 of 4 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against JAX he caught 4 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Chig Okonkwo has been on the field for 67 percent of WAS snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 19 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 7.9 air yards.

In Week 5 against NYG he caught 4 of 6 targets for 60 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against SF he caught 7 of 7 targets for 69 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against PHI he caught 2 of 4 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chig Okonkwo played 17 games and scored 124.0 PPR points, 7.3 a game, finishing TE21.

He caught 56 of 79 targets for 560 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 4.6 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Chig Okonkwo was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Josh Downs scored 8.5 PPR points a game and Chig Okonkwo 7.3, 1.2 a game between them.

Josh Downs finished WR44 and Chig Okonkwo TE21, which are two different ladders.

Josh Downs is a wide receiver and Chig Okonkwo a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Josh Downs is off in Week 13 and Chig Okonkwo in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Chig Okonkwo for Josh Downs?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 92 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 8 games), Chig Okonkwo 69 (7.7 a game over 9 games).

  • Should I drop Josh Downs for Chig Okonkwo?

    No. Keep Josh Downs: he projects 92 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 8 games), Chig Okonkwo 69 (7.7 a game over 9 games).

Should I drop Josh Downs?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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