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Should I start Chris Olave or Tim Patrick in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 6:11 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Tim Patrick: Listed Out (Coach's Decision) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Chris Olave: 73 percent of the snaps and 25 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Tim Patrick's 60 percent of the snaps and 7 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Tim Patrick for Chris Olave?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chris Olave projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 8 games), Tim Patrick 6 (0.8 a game over 7 games). Tim Patrick is listed out.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR26 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 2-6

Market-based projection
15.5 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
69

WR27 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs anytime td line 3-13

Market-based projection
3.5 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
70

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The gap

  • Board size305 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chris Olave, and the board ranks him 69th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In standard drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tim Patrick, and the board ranks him 70th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Chris Olave is 3.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

No season market is posted for Tim Patrick, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season so far

Through Week 9, Chris Olave has been on the field for 81 percent of NO snaps, drawn 28 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 21 of the offence's 75 third down targets, had 1 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 13 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 83 targets have averaged 13.3 air yards.

In Week 6 against NYG he caught 4 of 7 targets for 43 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against PIT he caught 6 of 10 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against CLE he caught 7 of 12 targets for 98 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Tim Patrick has been on the field for 60 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 23 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 7.7 air yards.

In Week 5 against CLE he caught 2 of 3 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NE he caught 1 of 3 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against MIA he was not given the ball.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chris Olave played 16 games and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 9.8 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 11.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tim Patrick played 16 games and scored 51.7 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing WR107.

He caught 15 of 24 targets for 187 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 1-2 targets a game, a 63 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 31 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 16 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Chris Olave scored 16.8 PPR points a game and Tim Patrick 3.2, 13.6 a game between them.

Chris Olave finished WR6 that year and Tim Patrick WR107.

Chris Olave had 132 more targets than Tim Patrick, 156 to 24.

Chris Olave had 976 more receiving yards than Tim Patrick, 1163 to 187.

This season Chris Olave holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 60 percent.

This season Chris Olave holds the bigger target share, 28 percent against 7 percent.

Byes and availability

Chris Olave is off in Week 8 and Tim Patrick in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Tim Patrick is listed as out on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tim Patrick for Chris Olave?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Chris Olave projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 8 games), Tim Patrick 6 (0.8 a game over 7 games). Tim Patrick is listed out.

  • Should I drop Chris Olave for Tim Patrick?

    No. Keep Chris Olave: he projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 8 games), Tim Patrick 6 (0.8 a game over 7 games). Tim Patrick is listed out.

Should I drop Tim Patrick?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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