Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or Tim Patrick in Week 10?
Updated Nov 10, 12:21 PM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
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- : Tim Patrick: Listed Out (Coach's Decision) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Tetairoa McMillan: 80 percent of the snaps and 23 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Tim Patrick's 60 percent of the snaps and 7 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Tim Patrick for Tetairoa McMillan?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 8 games), Tim Patrick 6 (0.8 a game over 7 games). Tim Patrick is listed out.
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
WR21 · CAR · bye 5
2026 vs anytime td line 2-6
- Market-based projection
- 13.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 60
WR82 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs anytime td line 3-13
- Market-based projection
- 3.5 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 192
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The gap
- Board size307 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 60th overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Tim Patrick, and the board ranks him 192nd overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 3.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market-based projection for Tim Patrick is 0.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Tetairoa McMillan's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season so far
Through Week 9, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 83 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 13 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 4 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 37 two minute targets.
His 71 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.
In Week 7 against TB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.
In Week 9 against DEN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 56 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
Through Week 7, Tim Patrick has been on the field for 60 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 0 of the offence's 23 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.
His 6 targets have averaged 7.7 air yards.
In Week 5 against CLE he caught 2 of 3 targets for 26 yards and did not score.
In Week 6 against NE he caught 1 of 3 targets for 15 yards and did not score.
In Week 7 against MIA he was not given the ball.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.
He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.
That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Tim Patrick played 16 games and scored 51.7 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing WR107.
He caught 15 of 24 targets for 187 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.
That came to 1-2 targets a game, a 63 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 31 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Tetairoa McMillan was available for 1 game more.
Head to head
In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan scored 12.4 PPR points a game and Tim Patrick 3.2, 9.2 a game between them.
Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 that year and Tim Patrick WR107.
Tetairoa McMillan had 98 more targets than Tim Patrick, 122 to 24.
Tetairoa McMillan had 827 more receiving yards than Tim Patrick, 1014 to 187.
This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 83 percent against 60 percent.
This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger target share, 25 percent against 7 percent.
Byes and availability
Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and Tim Patrick in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.
Tim Patrick is listed as out on the injury report.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Tim Patrick for Tetairoa McMillan?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 8 games), Tim Patrick 6 (0.8 a game over 7 games). Tim Patrick is listed out.
Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan for Tim Patrick?
No. Keep Tetairoa McMillan: he projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 8 games), Tim Patrick 6 (0.8 a game over 7 games). Tim Patrick is listed out.
Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan?Should I drop Tim Patrick?
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Tetairoa McMillan playing Week 10?
- Is Tim Patrick playing Week 10?
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