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Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 8?

Updated Oct 27, 4:11 PM ET.

Start Dalton Kincaid: 68 percent of the snaps and 15 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 22 percent of the snaps and 24 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

TE9 · BUF · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Overall rank
77

RB27 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 3-3

Overall rank
79

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The gap

  • Board size293 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dalton Kincaid, and the board ranks him 77th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chris Rodriguez Jr., and the board ranks him 79th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 2.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 3.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Dalton Kincaid's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 68 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 0 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 29 targets have averaged 9.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against NE he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LV he caught 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been on the field for 25 percent of JAX snaps, taken 24 percent of the carries, drawn 1 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 4 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 2.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against CIN he carried 6 times for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against PHI he carried 2 times for 5 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against HOU he carried 11 times for 55 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chris Rodriguez Jr. played 13 games and scored 92.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing RB51.

He carried 112 times for 500 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 30 more yards.

That came to 8.6 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 0.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid scored 10.5 PPR points a game and Chris Rodriguez Jr. 7.1, 3.4 a game between them.

Dalton Kincaid finished TE20 and Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB51, which are two different ladders.

Dalton Kincaid is a tight end and Chris Rodriguez Jr. a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 7, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Dalton Kincaid is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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