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Should I start Nate Boerkircher or Dallas Goedert in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 8:11 AM ET.

Start Dallas Goedert: 76 percent of the snaps and 21 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Nate Boerkircher's 47 percent of the snaps and 6 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE19 · JAX · bye unlisted

Market-based projection
2.3 pts a game

TE21 · PHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
10.9 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
118

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The gap

  • Board size300 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Nate Boerkircher, and the board ranks him 113th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dallas Goedert, and the board ranks him 118th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Nate Boerkircher's market-based projection is 2.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 90th highest figure of the 183 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Dallas Goedert is 2.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Dallas Goedert's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Nate Boerkircher has been on the field for 48 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 1 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 6.6 air yards.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 2 of 2 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against HOU he caught 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 1 of 1 target for 31 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Dallas Goedert has been on the field for 67 percent of PHI snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 0 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 5.7 air yards.

In Week 6 against CAR he caught 6 of 8 targets for 61 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DAL he caught 5 of 7 targets for 48 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against WAS he carried 1 time for 2 yards, caught 4 of 4 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Nate Boerkircher is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Dallas Goedert played 15 games and scored 185.1 PPR points, 12.3 a game, finishing TE7.

He caught 60 of 82 targets for 591 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 9.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Dallas Goedert holds the bigger snap share, 67 percent against 48 percent.

This season Dallas Goedert holds the bigger target share, 17 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

Dallas Goedert is off in Week 10. No bye is listed for Nate Boerkircher.

What would change the answer

Dallas Goedert has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Dallas Goedert?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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