Should I start Ted Hurst III or David Montgomery in Week 7?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ted Hurst III, and the board ranks him 118th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on David Montgomery, and the board ranks him 120th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 33.

The market-based projections

Ted Hurst III's market-based projection is 7.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 111th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for David Montgomery is 5.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

David Montgomery's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Ted Hurst III has been on the field for 59 percent of TB snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 16.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, David Montgomery has been on the field for 46 percent of HOU snaps, taken 45 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 28 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 3 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 3.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against IND he carried 11 times for 33 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DAL he carried 10 times for 24 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TEN he carried 5 times for 11 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Ted Hurst III is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 David Montgomery played 17 games and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He carried 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 more yards.

That came to 9.3 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 1.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Side by side

Ted Hurst III is a wide receiver and David Montgomery a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Ted Hurst III is off in Week 10 and David Montgomery in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

David Montgomery is listed as doubtful on the injury report.

What would change the answer

David Montgomery has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.