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Should I start Marvin Mims Jr. or Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 3:26 PM ET.

Start Deebo Samuel Sr.: 62 percent of the snaps and 11 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Marvin Mims Jr.'s 28 percent of the snaps and 9 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR46 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Market-based projection
4.1 pts a game

WR49 · SF · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 3-2

Overall rank
150

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The gap

  • Board size308 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Marvin Mims Jr., and the board ranks him 145th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Deebo Samuel Sr., and the board ranks him 150th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Marvin Mims Jr.'s market-based projection is 4.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 130th highest figure of the 224 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Deebo Samuel Sr. at 3.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Deebo Samuel Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Marvin Mims Jr. has been on the field for 28 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 16 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 1.2 air yards.

In Week 7 against ARI he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against KC he carried 2 times for 19 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Deebo Samuel Sr. has been on the field for 57 percent of SF snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 2.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against ARI he carried 2 times for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DEN he carried 3 times for 44 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 26 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against SEA he carried 2 times for 4 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Marvin Mims Jr. played 15 games and scored 93.0 PPR points, 6.2 a game, finishing WR66.

He caught 37 of 51 targets for 322 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 3.4 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 8.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 35 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.

He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.2 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 10.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Deebo Samuel Sr. was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 11.8 PPR points a game and Marvin Mims Jr. 6.2, 5.6 a game between them.

Marvin Mims Jr. finished WR66 that year and Deebo Samuel Sr. WR25.

Deebo Samuel Sr. had 48 more targets than Marvin Mims Jr., 99 to 51.

Deebo Samuel Sr. had 405 more receiving yards than Marvin Mims Jr., 727 to 322.

This season Deebo Samuel Sr. holds the bigger snap share, 57 percent against 28 percent.

This season Deebo Samuel Sr. holds the bigger target share, 15 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Marvin Mims Jr. is off in Week 10 and Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Deebo Samuel Sr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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