Derrick Henry or Javonte Williams: who should I start?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Derrick Henry at 18.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 11th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

The player markets price Javonte Williams at 17.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 21st highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Derrick Henry: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 5th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 11.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Javonte Williams: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 11th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 43.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 54 percent of BAL snaps, taken 71 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 6 third down targets, had 2 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 1 target have come 1.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against IND he carried 24 times for 144 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 19 yards and scored 3 touchdowns.

Through Week 1, Javonte Williams has been on the field for 71 percent of DAL snaps, taken 67 percent of the carries, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 56 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 3 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 5 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have come 2.2 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against NYG he carried 12 times for 41 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 31 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Javonte Williams played 16 games and scored 242.8 PPR points, 15.2 a game, finishing RB12.

He carried 252 times for 1201 yards and 11 touchdowns, and caught 35 of 51 targets for 137 more yards.

That came to 15.8 carries a game at 4.8 yards a carry and 2.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Derrick Henry was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Derrick Henry scored 16.4 PPR points a game and Javonte Williams 15.2, 1.3 a game between them.

Derrick Henry finished RB8 that year and Javonte Williams RB12.

Derrick Henry had 55 more carries than Javonte Williams, 307 to 252.

Javonte Williams had 20 more catches than Derrick Henry, 35 to 15.

This season Javonte Williams holds the bigger snap share, 71 percent against 54 percent.

This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger share of the carries, 71 percent against 67 percent.

Byes and availability

Derrick Henry is off in Week 13 and Javonte Williams in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.2 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.