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Start Bijan Robinson or Derrick Henry? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:11 AM ET.

Start

RB · ATL · vs KC

Market projects
22.4
recent weeks avg
KC D vs RB
19.8
10th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
77 of 100 at RB
Snap share
73%
Through Week 9
Target share
17%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
15.0
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs RB
22.5
11th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
50 of 100 at RB
Snap share
55%
Through Week 9
Target share
6%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Derrick Henry for Bijan Robinson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bijan Robinson projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (22.1 a game over 7 games), Derrick Henry 109 (15.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry.

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Bijan Robinson rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Bijan Robinson at 22.4 points and Derrick Henry at 15.0, a gap of 7.4. No player market is posted for Bijan Robinson this week yet, so his 22.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (23.3, 21.4 and 22.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Derrick Henry this week yet, so his 15.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (16.3, 16.5 and 12.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Bijan Robinson at ADP 2 and Derrick Henry at 15.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Bijan Robinson yet. His market-based projections were 23.3, 21.5 and 22.5 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 22.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Bijan Robinson is 0.7 touchdowns (7 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Derrick Henry yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 16.5 and 12.3 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Bijan Robinson 7.4 points ahead of Derrick Henry on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Bijan Robinson and ATL host KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 19.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 69 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 42 more yards.

Derrick Henry and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Derrick Henry has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bijan Robinson is not on the injury report.

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Bijan Robinson played 73 percent of ATL snaps, took 67 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 44 percent of the red zone chances.

Bijan Robinson, Week 6 against CHI: 43 of 55 snaps, 9 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -8 yards.

Bijan Robinson, Week 7 against SF: 55 of 69 snaps, 20 carries for 63 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 45 yards.

Bijan Robinson, Week 8 against TB: 43 of 53 snaps, 19 carries for 76 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Bijan Robinson, Week 9 against CIN: 51 of 62 snaps, 19 carries for 100 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 47 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Derrick Henry played 55 percent of BAL snaps, took 68 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 7 against CIN: 34 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 45 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 8 against BUF: 23 of 51 snaps, 11 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 9 against JAX: 28 of 56 snaps, 17 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bijan Robinson played 17 games for ATL and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.

He ran 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Bijan Robinson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Bijan Robinson projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (22.1 a game over 7 games), Derrick Henry 109 (15.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry.

  • Should I drop Bijan Robinson for Derrick Henry?

    No. Keep Bijan Robinson: he projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (22.1 a game over 7 games), Derrick Henry 109 (15.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry.

Should I drop Derrick Henry?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board