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Should I start Marvin Mims Jr. or Efton Chism III in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 12:21 PM ET.

Start Efton Chism III: 76 percent of the snaps and 12 percent of the targets over their last 2 games, against Marvin Mims Jr.'s 28 percent of the snaps and 9 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR21 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Market-based projection
4.5 pts a game

WR49 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 1-6

Market-based projection
6.8 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
135

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The gap

  • Board size302 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Marvin Mims Jr., and the board ranks him 56th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Efton Chism III, and the board ranks him 135th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Marvin Mims Jr.'s market-based projection is 4.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 58th highest figure of the 212 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 2.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Efton Chism III's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Marvin Mims Jr. has been on the field for 28 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 16 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 1.2 air yards.

In Week 7 against ARI he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against KC he carried 2 times for 19 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Efton Chism III has been on the field for 76 percent of NE snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 4.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 1 of 1 target for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against MIA he caught 5 of 5 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Marvin Mims Jr. played 15 games and scored 93.0 PPR points, 6.2 a game, finishing WR66.

He caught 37 of 51 targets for 322 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 3.4 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 8.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 35 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Efton Chism III played 8 games and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 0.4 targets a game, a 100 percent catch rate and 25.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Marvin Mims Jr. was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Marvin Mims Jr. scored 6.2 PPR points a game and Efton Chism III 2.1, 4.1 a game between them.

Marvin Mims Jr. had 48 more targets than Efton Chism III, 51 to 3.

Marvin Mims Jr. had 247 more receiving yards than Efton Chism III, 322 to 75.

This season Efton Chism III holds the bigger snap share, 76 percent against 28 percent.

This season Efton Chism III holds the bigger target share, 12 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Marvin Mims Jr. is off in Week 10 and Efton Chism III in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Efton Chism III has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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