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Should I start Michael Penix Jr. or Efton Chism in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 9:31 AM ET.

Start Michael Penix Jr.: his market-based projection is 10.1 points a game ahead of Efton Chism's this season.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB20 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 2-2

Market-based projection
15.0 pts a game

WR42 · NE · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
4.9 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference10.1 points a game
  • Board size304 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Michael Penix Jr.'s market-based projection is 15.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 46th highest figure of the 201 players with a market-based projection.

Efton Chism's market-based projection is 4.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 105th highest figure of the 201 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Efton Chism, and the board ranks him 116th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 122 times and thrown 7.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 15 of 122 dropbacks and scrambled 3 times.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

In Week 5 against BAL he completed 19 of 32 passes for 240 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

In Week 6 against CHI he completed 19 of 33 passes for 225 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Through Week 6, Efton Chism has been on the field for 47 percent of NE snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 1 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 19 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against BUF he caught 2 of 4 targets for 42 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against LV he carried 1 time for 2 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Efton Chism played 8 games and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 0.4 targets a game, a 100 percent catch rate and 25.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Michael Penix Jr. was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. scored 13.7 PPR points a game and Efton Chism 2.1, 11.6 a game between them.

Michael Penix Jr. is a quarterback and Efton Chism a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Michael Penix Jr. is off in Week 11. No bye is listed for Efton Chism.

What would change the answer

10.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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