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Should I start Fernando Mendoza or Kaelon Black in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 3:21 PM ET.

Start Kaelon Black: 31 percent of the snaps and 34 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Fernando Mendoza's 17 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

Fernando Mendoza

QB10 · LV · bye 13

Market-based projection
10.5 pts a game

Kaelon Black

RB10 · SF · bye 8

Overall rank
36

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Fernando Mendoza, and the board ranks him 35th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaelon Black, and the board ranks him 36th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Fernando Mendoza's market-based projection is 10.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 4 market sources. That is the 27th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 8.3 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 8 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Kaelon Black's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Fernando Mendoza has been on the field for 17 percent of LV snaps, dropped back 9 times and thrown 5.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 1 of 9 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 5 against NE he completed 6 of 8 passes for 48 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 3 yards.

Through Week 9, Kaelon Black has been on the field for 29 percent of SF snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 57 third down targets, had 3 of its 28 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against WAS he carried 8 times for 34 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he carried 12 times for 63 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for -4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LV he carried 11 times for 70 yards and did not score.

Their last full seasons

Fernando Mendoza is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Kaelon Black is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Side by side

Fernando Mendoza is a quarterback and Kaelon Black a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Fernando Mendoza is off in Week 13 and Kaelon Black in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Kaelon Black has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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