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Should I start Fernando Mendoza or Josh Allen in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 3:21 PM ET.

Start Josh Allen: 98 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Fernando Mendoza's 17 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB10 · LV · bye 13

Market-based projection
10.5 pts a game

QB12 · BUF · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 8-3

Market-based projection
21.6 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
86

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Fernando Mendoza, and the board ranks him 35th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Allen, and the board ranks him 86th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 2.

The market-based projections

Fernando Mendoza's market-based projection is 10.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 4 market sources. That is the 27th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Josh Allen is 4.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Josh Allen's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Fernando Mendoza has been on the field for 17 percent of LV snaps, dropped back 9 times and thrown 5.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 1 of 9 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 5 against NE he completed 6 of 8 passes for 48 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 3 yards.

Through Week 9, Josh Allen has been on the field for 99 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 273 times and thrown 8.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 42 of 273 dropbacks and scrambled 20 times.

In Week 6 against LV he completed 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 4 yards.

In Week 8 against BAL he completed 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 7 times for 30 yards.

In Week 9 against MIN he completed 21 of 31 passes for 234 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 16 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

Fernando Mendoza is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Josh Allen played 17 games and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He threw for 3668 yards on 460 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

That came to 27.1 attempts a game at 8.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Josh Allen holds the bigger snap share, 99 percent against 17 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Fernando Mendoza is off in Week 13 and Josh Allen in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Josh Allen has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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