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Should I start Gardner Minshew II or Matthew Stafford in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 12:21 PM ET.

Start Matthew Stafford: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Gardner Minshew II's 65 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB28 · ARI · bye 14

Market-based projection
11.5 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
177

QB30 · LAR · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 4-5

Market-based projection
15.6 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
180

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Gardner Minshew II, and the board ranks him 177th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Matthew Stafford, and the board ranks him 180th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Gardner Minshew II is 0.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Matthew Stafford is 0.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Gardner Minshew II's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Gardner Minshew II has been on the field for 65 percent of ARI snaps, dropped back 54 times and thrown 6.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 5 of 54 dropbacks.

In Week 8 against DAL he completed 17 of 20 passes for 188 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 9 against SEA he completed 21 of 30 passes for 166 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 4 yards.

Through Week 9, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 360 times and thrown 7.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 50 of 360 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 7 against LV he completed 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.

In Week 8 against LAC he completed 17 of 25 passes for 157 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

In Week 9 against WAS he completed 26 of 42 passes for 228 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Gardner Minshew II played 4 games and scored 0.7 PPR points, 0.2 a game, finishing QB72.

He threw for 37 yards on 13 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, and ran for 2 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 3.3 attempts a game at 2.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Matthew Stafford was available for 13 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and Gardner Minshew II 0.2, 20.9 a game between them.

Gardner Minshew II finished QB72 that year and Matthew Stafford QB3.

Matthew Stafford had 584 more pass attempts than Gardner Minshew II, 597 to 13.

Matthew Stafford had 4670 more passing yards than Gardner Minshew II, 4707 to 37.

This season Matthew Stafford holds the bigger snap share, 98 percent against 65 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Gardner Minshew II is off in Week 14 and Matthew Stafford in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Gardner Minshew II is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Should I drop Matthew Stafford?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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