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Should I start Michael Penix Jr. or Gardner Minshew II in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 2:51 PM ET.

Start Michael Penix Jr.: 99 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Gardner Minshew II's 65 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB27 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 2-5

Market-based projection
15.0 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
188

QB28 · ARI · bye 14

Market-based projection
11.5 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
189

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 188th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Gardner Minshew II, and the board ranks him 189th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has Michael Penix Jr. at 0.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Gardner Minshew II is 0.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Michael Penix Jr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 93 times and thrown 7.1 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 0 of 93 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 7 against SF he completed 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 2 yards.

In Week 8 against TB he completed 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions and ran 5 times for 11 yards.

In Week 9 against CIN he completed 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 50 yards.

Through Week 9, Gardner Minshew II has been on the field for 65 percent of ARI snaps, dropped back 54 times and thrown 6.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 5 of 54 dropbacks.

In Week 8 against DAL he completed 17 of 20 passes for 188 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 9 against SEA he completed 21 of 30 passes for 166 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Gardner Minshew II played 4 games and scored 0.7 PPR points, 0.2 a game, finishing QB72.

He threw for 37 yards on 13 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, and ran for 2 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 3.3 attempts a game at 2.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Michael Penix Jr. was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. scored 13.7 PPR points a game and Gardner Minshew II 0.2, 13.5 a game between them.

Michael Penix Jr. finished QB33 that year and Gardner Minshew II QB72.

Michael Penix Jr. had 263 more pass attempts than Gardner Minshew II, 276 to 13.

Michael Penix Jr. had 1945 more passing yards than Gardner Minshew II, 1982 to 37.

This season Michael Penix Jr. holds the bigger snap share, 99 percent against 65 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Michael Penix Jr. is off in Week 11 and Gardner Minshew II in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

Gardner Minshew II is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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