Should I start Joe Burrow or Garrett Wilson in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Joe Burrow's market-based projection is 21.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 3rd highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Garrett Wilson's market-based projection is 13.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 45th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Joe Burrow, and the board ranks him 32nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Garrett Wilson, and the board ranks him 31st overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 9, Joe Burrow has been on the field for 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 321 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 57 of 321 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 7 against BAL he completed 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 8 against TEN he completed 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, threw 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

In Week 9 against ATL he completed 24 of 29 passes for 271 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

Through Week 8, Garrett Wilson has been on the field for 88 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 28 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 20 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 63 targets have averaged 10.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against MIA he caught 2 of 3 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against LV he caught 6 of 12 targets for 83 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Joe Burrow played 8 games and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He threw for 1809 yards on 259 attempts with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 32.4 attempts a game at 7.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Garrett Wilson played 7 games and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 8.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Joe Burrow was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Joe Burrow scored 17.4 PPR points a game and Garrett Wilson 14.2, 3.2 a game between them.

Joe Burrow finished QB29 and Garrett Wilson WR62, which are two different ladders.

Joe Burrow is a quarterback and Garrett Wilson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Joe Burrow is off in Week 6 and Garrett Wilson in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Garrett Wilson is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

8.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.