Start Joe Burrow or Dak Prescott? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 23.5 points and Dak Prescott at 18.0, a gap of 5.5. Joe Burrow's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Joe Burrow at ADP 55 and Dak Prescott at 64.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 23.5 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Joe Burrow is 287 passing yards, 2-3 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (9, 11 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.0 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dak Prescott is 264 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 10 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (5, 5, 4 and 5 market sources).

That puts Joe Burrow 5.5 points ahead of Dak Prescott on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Joe Burrow and CIN host PIT on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

PIT allowed 12.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 242 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against PIT, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

Dak Prescott and DAL host SF on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SF allowed 15.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 223 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against SF, with 0.8 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Dak Prescott has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Joe Burrow played 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 321 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 7 against BAL: 50 of 53 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 8 against TEN: 74 of 74 snaps, 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 9 against ATL: 57 of 57 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Through Week 9, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 368 times and threw an average of 8.2 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 7 against PHI: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 8 against ARI: 74 of 74 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 21 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 9 against IND: 79 of 79 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 335 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start Joe Burrow over Brock Purdy.
• Start Joe Burrow over C.J. Stroud.
• Start Joe Burrow over Drake Maye.
• Start Dak Prescott over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Brock Purdy over Dak Prescott.
• Start Dak Prescott over C.J. Stroud.