Should I start Joe Burrow or George Kittle in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Joe Burrow's market-based projection is 21.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 4th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

George Kittle's market-based projection is 15.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 18th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Joe Burrow, and the board ranks him 12th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on George Kittle, and the board ranks him 11th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Joe Burrow has been on the field for 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 321 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 57 of 321 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 7 against BAL he completed 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 8 against TEN he completed 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, threw 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

In Week 9 against ATL he completed 24 of 29 passes for 271 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

Through Week 9, George Kittle has been on the field for 78 percent of SF snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 57 third down targets, had 1 of its 28 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 53 targets have averaged 8.2 air yards.

In Week 6 against WAS he caught 5 of 8 targets for 69 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against ATL he caught 8 of 10 targets for 88 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against LV he caught 4 of 7 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Joe Burrow played 8 games and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He threw for 1809 yards on 259 attempts with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 32.4 attempts a game at 7.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 George Kittle played 11 games and scored 161.5 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing TE13.

He caught 57 of 69 targets for 628 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 6.3 targets a game, a 83 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 80 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

George Kittle was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Joe Burrow scored 17.4 PPR points a game and George Kittle 14.7, 2.8 a game between them.

Joe Burrow finished QB29 and George Kittle TE13, which are two different ladders.

Joe Burrow is a quarterback and George Kittle a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Joe Burrow is off in Week 6 and George Kittle in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

6.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.