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Should I start Zay Flowers or George Pickens in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 1:11 PM ET.

Latest

  • : George Pickens: Questionable to Out (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : George Pickens: Listed Questionable (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)

Week 10 verdict

Start

WR · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
14.5
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs WR
36.6
6th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
79 of 100 at WR
Snap share
67%
Through Week 9
Target share
30%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · DAL · vs SF · Out

Market projects
13.4
recent weeks avg
SF D vs WR
27.2
6th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
78%
Through Week 8
Target share
21%
Through Week 8
Start Flowers or Pickens? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start Zay Flowers: 78 percent of the snaps and 29 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against George Pickens's 69 percent of the snaps and 19 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop George Pickens for Zay Flowers?

Not on these numbers alone. George Pickens projects 98 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.0 a game over 7 games) and Zay Flowers 102 (14.6 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Zay Flowers over George Pickens. George Pickens is listed out.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR18 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 3-5

Market-based projection
10.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
54

WR24 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-6

Market-based projection
10.7 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
66

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zay Flowers, and the board ranks him 54th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on George Pickens, and the board ranks him 66th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 3.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for George Pickens is 3.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Zay Flowers's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 9, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 67 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 17 of the offence's 65 third down targets, had 0 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 11 of its 40 two minute targets.

His 64 targets have averaged 7.6 air yards.

In Week 7 against CIN he caught 8 of 11 targets for 137 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against BUF he caught 0 of 5 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against JAX he carried 3 times for 17 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, George Pickens has been on the field for 78 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 23 of the offence's 69 third down targets, had 3 of its 31 chances inside the five and seen 11 of its 50 two minute targets.

His 62 targets have averaged 11.6 air yards.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 73 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against PHI he caught 4 of 6 targets for 57 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against ARI he caught 2 of 4 targets for 48 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 George Pickens played 17 games and scored 291.9 PPR points, 17.2 a game, finishing WR5.

He caught 93 of 137 targets for 1429 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 21 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 15.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 83 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 George Pickens scored 17.2 PPR points a game and Zay Flowers 14.3, 2.9 a game between them.

Zay Flowers finished WR7 that year and George Pickens WR5.

George Pickens had 19 more targets than Zay Flowers, 137 to 118.

George Pickens had 218 more receiving yards than Zay Flowers, 1429 to 1211.

This season George Pickens holds the bigger snap share, 78 percent against 67 percent.

This season Zay Flowers holds the bigger target share, 30 percent against 21 percent.

Byes and availability

Zay Flowers is off in Week 13 and George Pickens in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

George Pickens is listed as out on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop George Pickens for Zay Flowers?

    Not on these numbers alone. George Pickens projects 98 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.0 a game over 7 games) and Zay Flowers 102 (14.6 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Zay Flowers over George Pickens. George Pickens is listed out.

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for George Pickens?

    Not on these numbers alone. Zay Flowers projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 7 games) and George Pickens 98 (14.0 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Zay Flowers over George Pickens. George Pickens is listed out.

Should I drop George Pickens?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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