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Should I start George Pickens or Justin Jefferson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 10:01 AM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

WR · MIN · vs IND

Market projects
15.6
fantasy pts
IND D vs WR
30.8
13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
85 of 100 at WR
Snap share
74%
Through Week 5
Target share
25%
Through Week 5
Sit

WR · DAL · at PHI

Market projects
13.7
fantasy pts
PHI D vs WR
38.3
3rd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
91 of 100 at WR
Snap share
85%
Through Week 6
Target share
22%
Through Week 6
Start Jefferson or Pickens? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Justin Jefferson over George Pickens in Week 7: 15.6 to 13.7 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for George Pickens?

Yes, on the rest of the season. George Pickens projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.2 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Justin Jefferson over George Pickens, 15.6 to 13.7 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR36 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
15.3 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
90

WR37 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Overall rank
92

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on George Pickens, and the board ranks him 90th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 92nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for George Pickens is 3.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 3.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

George Pickens's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 6, George Pickens has been on the field for 85 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 19 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 3 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 52 targets have averaged 11.2 air yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 2 of 3 targets for 75 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 9 of 13 targets for 130 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 73 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 74 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against TB he caught 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 1 time for -11 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 George Pickens played 17 games and scored 291.9 PPR points, 17.2 a game, finishing WR5.

He caught 93 of 137 targets for 1429 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 21 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 15.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 83 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 George Pickens scored 17.2 PPR points a game and Justin Jefferson 11.9, 5.3 a game between them.

George Pickens finished WR5 that year and Justin Jefferson WR21.

Justin Jefferson had 4 more targets than George Pickens, 141 to 137.

George Pickens had 381 more receiving yards than Justin Jefferson, 1429 to 1048.

This season George Pickens holds the bigger snap share, 85 percent against 74 percent.

This season Justin Jefferson holds the bigger target share, 25 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

George Pickens is off in Week 14 and Justin Jefferson in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justin Jefferson for George Pickens?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. George Pickens projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.2 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Justin Jefferson over George Pickens, 15.6 to 13.7 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

  • Should I drop George Pickens for Justin Jefferson?

    No. Keep George Pickens: he projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.2 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Justin Jefferson over George Pickens, 15.6 to 13.7 projected PPR points.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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