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Should I start Germie Bernard or John Metchie III in Week 8?

Updated Oct 27, 7:11 PM ET.

Start Germie Bernard: 92 percent of the snaps and 25 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against John Metchie III's 46 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR21 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs anytime td line 1-6

Market-based projection
13.0 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
50

WR22 · CAR · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
3.7 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size293 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Germie Bernard, and the board ranks him 50th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on John Metchie III, and the board ranks him 57th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Germie Bernard is 3.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

John Metchie III's market-based projection is 3.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 68th highest figure of the 198 players with a market-based projection.

Germie Bernard's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Germie Bernard has been on the field for 61 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 58 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 37 targets have averaged 5.7 air yards.

In Week 5 against IND he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 6 of 9 targets for 80 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TB he caught 11 of 12 targets for 87 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against NO he caught 3 of 5 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, John Metchie III has been on the field for 46 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 3 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 1 two minute target.

His 4 targets have averaged 5.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 2 of 4 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Germie Bernard is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 John Metchie III played 16 games and scored 71.9 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing WR87.

He caught 33 of 48 targets for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 3.0 targets a game, a 69 percent catch rate and 8.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 43 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Germie Bernard holds the bigger snap share, 61 percent against 46 percent.

This season Germie Bernard holds the bigger target share, 15 percent against 14 percent.

Byes and availability

Germie Bernard is off in Week 9 and John Metchie III in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Germie Bernard has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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