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Should I start Germie Bernard or Michael Wilson in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 1:11 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Cardinals WR Michael Wilson (neck) to miss rest of season (ESPN)
  • : Michael Wilson: Listed Out (Neck, Fracture) (Sleeper injury feed)

Week 10 verdict

Start Germie Bernard over Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson is listed out, so Germie Bernard starts despite the lower projection.

Start

WR · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
11.4
fantasy pts
CIN D vs WR
32.9
15th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
65 of 100 at WR
Snap share
64%
Through Week 8
Target share
16%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · ARI · vs LAR · Out

Market projects
11.8
recent weeks avg
LAR D vs WR
26.8
5th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
88%
Through Week 9
Target share
26%
Through Week 9
Start Bernard or Wilson? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start Germie Bernard: 90 percent of the snaps and 23 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Michael Wilson's 84 percent of the snaps and 26 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Germie Bernard for Michael Wilson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Wilson projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), Germie Bernard 64 (8.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Germie Bernard over Michael Wilson. So make the move after his Week 10 game. Michael Wilson is listed out.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR8 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs anytime td line 1-7

Market-based projection
11.3 pts a game

WR48 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-7

Market-based projection
10.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
111

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Germie Bernard, and the board ranks him 25th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Wilson, and the board ranks him 111th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Germie Bernard's market-based projection is 11.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 22nd highest figure of the 208 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Michael Wilson is 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Michael Wilson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Germie Bernard has been on the field for 64 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 5.1 air yards.

In Week 6 against TB he caught 11 of 12 targets for 87 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against NO he caught 3 of 5 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CLE he caught 5 of 5 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 88 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 24 of the offence's 95 third down targets, had 10 of its 32 chances inside the five and seen 22 of its 58 two minute targets.

His 88 targets have averaged 10.8 air yards.

In Week 7 against DEN he carried 2 times for 11 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DAL he carried 1 time for 17 yards, caught 8 of 15 targets for 111 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against SEA he caught 6 of 7 targets for 60 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Germie Bernard is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger snap share, 88 percent against 64 percent.

This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger target share, 26 percent against 16 percent.

Byes and availability

Germie Bernard is off in Week 9 and Michael Wilson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

Michael Wilson is listed as out on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Michael Wilson has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Germie Bernard for Michael Wilson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Wilson projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), Germie Bernard 64 (8.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Germie Bernard over Michael Wilson. So make the move after his Week 10 game. Michael Wilson is listed out.

  • Should I drop Michael Wilson for Germie Bernard?

    No. Keep Michael Wilson: he projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), Germie Bernard 64 (8.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Germie Bernard over Michael Wilson. Michael Wilson is listed out.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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