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Should I start DK Metcalf or Germie Bernard in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 10:31 AM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

WR · PIT · at NO

Market projects
12.5
fantasy pts
NO D vs WR
31.8
16th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
94 of 100 at WR
Snap share
95%
Through Week 6
Target share
24%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · PIT · at NO

Market projects
12.0
fantasy pts
NO D vs WR
31.8
16th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
92 of 100 at WR
Snap share
57%
Through Week 6
Target share
15%
Through Week 6
Start Metcalf or Bernard? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start DK Metcalf: his market-based projection is 0.6 points a game ahead of Germie Bernard's this season.

Should I drop Germie Bernard for DK Metcalf?

Yes, on the rest of the season. DK Metcalf projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 10 games), Germie Bernard 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts DK Metcalf over Germie Bernard, 12.5 to 12.0 projected PPR points.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR9 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
12.6 pts a game

WR11 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
12.0 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference0.6 points a game
  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

DK Metcalf's market-based projection is 12.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 20th highest figure of the 181 players with a market-based projection.

Germie Bernard's market-based projection is 12.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 23rd highest figure of the 181 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on DK Metcalf, and the board ranks him 17th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Germie Bernard, and the board ranks him 20th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, DK Metcalf has been on the field for 95 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 24 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 17 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 1 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 52 targets have averaged 12.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against CLE he caught 5 of 9 targets for 115 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against IND he carried 1 time for 11 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TB he caught 11 of 15 targets for 93 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Germie Bernard has been on the field for 57 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 32 targets have averaged 5.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against CLE he caught 2 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against IND he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 6 of 9 targets for 80 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TB he caught 11 of 12 targets for 87 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 DK Metcalf played 15 games and scored 187.2 PPR points, 12.5 a game, finishing WR26.

He caught 59 of 99 targets for 850 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 14.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Germie Bernard is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season DK Metcalf holds the bigger snap share, 95 percent against 57 percent.

This season DK Metcalf holds the bigger target share, 24 percent against 15 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 9, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

0.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Germie Bernard for DK Metcalf?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. DK Metcalf projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 10 games), Germie Bernard 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts DK Metcalf over Germie Bernard, 12.5 to 12.0 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop DK Metcalf for Germie Bernard?

    No. Keep DK Metcalf: he projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 10 games), Germie Bernard 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts DK Metcalf over Germie Bernard, 12.5 to 12.0 projected PPR points.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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