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Should I start Jake Ferguson or Trey McBride in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 10:46 PM ET.

Start Trey McBride: 95 percent of the snaps and 27 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jake Ferguson's 68 percent of the snaps and 9 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Trey McBride?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Trey McBride projects 166 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.6 a game over 10 games), Jake Ferguson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE14 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-4

Market-based projection
6.4 pts a game

TE17 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection
16.6 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
172

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The gap

  • Board size301 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 115th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Trey McBride, and the board ranks him 172nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 31.

The market-based projections

Jake Ferguson's market-based projection is 6.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 80th highest figure of the 196 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Trey McBride is 3.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Trey McBride's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 68 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 1 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 4.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Trey McBride has been on the field for 91 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 18 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 4 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 13 of its 40 two minute targets.

His 65 targets have averaged 5.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against NYG he caught 7 of 12 targets for 31 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DET he caught 9 of 10 targets for 66 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against LAR he caught 7 of 9 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Trey McBride played 17 games and scored 315.9 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing TE1.

He caught 126 of 169 targets for 1239 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 32 red zone targets.

That came to 9.9 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Trey McBride scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Jake Ferguson 11.1, 7.5 a game between them.

Jake Ferguson finished TE5 that year and Trey McBride TE1.

Trey McBride had 67 more targets than Jake Ferguson, 169 to 102.

Trey McBride had 639 more receiving yards than Jake Ferguson, 1239 to 600.

This season Trey McBride holds the bigger snap share, 91 percent against 68 percent.

This season Trey McBride holds the bigger target share, 29 percent against 10 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 14, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

Trey McBride has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Trey McBride?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Trey McBride projects 166 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.6 a game over 10 games), Jake Ferguson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Trey McBride for Jake Ferguson?

    No. Keep Trey McBride: he projects 166 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.6 a game over 10 games), Jake Ferguson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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