Should I start Jake Ferguson or Eli Raridon in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Jake Ferguson's market-based projection is 6.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 113th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Eli Raridon's market-based projection is 3.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 141st highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 130th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Eli Raridon, and the board ranks him 168th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 68 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 1 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 4.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Eli Raridon has been on the field for 51 percent of NE snaps, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 2 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 12 targets have averaged 7.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against BUF he caught 1 of 2 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LV he caught 5 of 5 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 1 of 3 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Eli Raridon is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Jake Ferguson holds the bigger snap share, 68 percent against 51 percent.

This season Jake Ferguson holds the bigger target share, 10 percent against 8 percent.

Byes and availability

Jake Ferguson is off in Week 14. No bye is listed for Eli Raridon.

What would change the answer

2.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.