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Should I start Jalen Nailor or John Metchie in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 12:36 PM ET.

Start Jalen Nailor: 46 percent of the snaps and 6 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against John Metchie's 42 percent of the snaps and 11 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR69 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 0-5

Market-based projection
5.8 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
157

WR72 · CAR · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
161

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jalen Nailor, and the board ranks him 157th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on John Metchie, and the board ranks him 161st overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Jalen Nailor is 1.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for John Metchie is 0.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jalen Nailor's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Jalen Nailor has been on the field for 51 percent of LV snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 0 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 12.5 air yards.

In Week 3 against NO he caught 1 of 3 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against KC he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against BUF he caught 1 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, John Metchie has been on the field for 35 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 19 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 3 of 5 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 2 of 3 targets for 24 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jalen Nailor played 17 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 55 percent catch rate and 15.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 John Metchie played 16 games and scored 71.9 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing WR87.

He caught 33 of 48 targets for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 3.0 targets a game, a 69 percent catch rate and 8.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 43 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Nailor was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jalen Nailor scored 5.9 PPR points a game and John Metchie 4.5, 1.4 a game between them.

Jalen Nailor finished WR61 that year and John Metchie WR87.

Jalen Nailor had 5 more targets than John Metchie, 53 to 48.

Jalen Nailor had 170 more receiving yards than John Metchie, 444 to 274.

This season Jalen Nailor holds the bigger snap share, 51 percent against 35 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 9 percent each.

Byes and availability

Jalen Nailor is off in Week 13 and John Metchie in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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