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Should I start Jalen Nailor or Xavier Hutchinson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 10:31 AM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

WR · LV · vs LAR

Market projects
5.1
recent weeks avg
LAR D vs WR
26.9
4th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
17 of 100 at WR
Snap share
51%
Through Week 6
Target share
9%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · HOU · vs NYG

Market projects
4.0
recent weeks avg
NYG D vs WR
31.1
14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
38 of 100 at WR
Snap share
54%
Through Week 6
Target share
17%
Through Week 6
Start Nailor or Hutchinson? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Jalen Nailor: 46 percent of the snaps and 6 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Xavier Hutchinson's 42 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Xavier Hutchinson for Jalen Nailor?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jalen Nailor projects 49 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (4.9 a game over 10 games), Xavier Hutchinson 39 (3.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Xavier Hutchinson.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR67 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 0-5

Market-based projection
5.8 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
155

WR69 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Market-based projection
3.7 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
162

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jalen Nailor, and the board ranks him 155th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Xavier Hutchinson, and the board ranks him 162nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Jalen Nailor is 1.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Xavier Hutchinson is 1.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jalen Nailor's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Jalen Nailor has been on the field for 51 percent of LV snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 0 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 12.5 air yards.

In Week 3 against NO he caught 1 of 3 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against KC he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against BUF he caught 1 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Xavier Hutchinson has been on the field for 54 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 1 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 11.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against DAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TEN he caught 4 of 5 targets for 65 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against JAX he caught 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jalen Nailor played 17 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 55 percent catch rate and 15.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.

He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 12.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Jalen Nailor scored 5.9 PPR points a game and Xavier Hutchinson 5.8, 0.2 a game between them.

Jalen Nailor finished WR61 that year and Xavier Hutchinson WR64.

Xavier Hutchinson had 4 more targets than Jalen Nailor, 57 to 53.

Jalen Nailor had 16 more receiving yards than Xavier Hutchinson, 444 to 428.

This season Xavier Hutchinson holds the bigger snap share, 54 percent against 51 percent.

This season Xavier Hutchinson holds the bigger target share, 17 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Jalen Nailor is off in Week 13 and Xavier Hutchinson in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Xavier Hutchinson for Jalen Nailor?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jalen Nailor projects 49 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (4.9 a game over 10 games), Xavier Hutchinson 39 (3.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Xavier Hutchinson.

  • Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Xavier Hutchinson?

    No. Keep Jalen Nailor: he projects 49 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (4.9 a game over 10 games), Xavier Hutchinson 39 (3.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Xavier Hutchinson.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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