Should I start Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Zay Flowers in Week 10?
Updated Nov 10, 3:26 PM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 83 percent of the snaps and 37 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Zay Flowers's 78 percent of the snaps and 29 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Zay Flowers for Jaxon Smith-Njigba?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaxon Smith-Njigba projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (20.0 a game over 7 games), Zay Flowers 102 (14.6 a game over 7 games).
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
WR14 · SEA · bye 11
2026 vs anytime td line 6-3
- Market-based projection
- 21.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 48
WR17 · BAL · bye 13
2026 vs anytime td line 3-5
- Market-based projection
- 10.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 52
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The gap
- Board size307 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and the board ranks him 48th overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 8.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Zay Flowers, and the board ranks him 52nd overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Jaxon Smith-Njigba is 4.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 3.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 9
Through Week 9, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been on the field for 84 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 36 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 32 of the offence's 78 third down targets, had 2 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 21 of its 49 two minute targets.
His 99 targets have averaged 10.1 air yards.
In Week 7 against KC he carried 2 times for 13 yards, caught 9 of 12 targets for 150 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 8 against CHI he caught 6 of 11 targets for 118 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 9 against ARI he caught 7 of 10 targets for 51 yards and did not score.
Through Week 9, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 67 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 17 of the offence's 65 third down targets, had 0 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 11 of its 40 two minute targets.
His 64 targets have averaged 7.6 air yards.
In Week 7 against CIN he caught 8 of 11 targets for 137 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 8 against BUF he caught 0 of 5 targets for 0 yards and did not score.
In Week 9 against JAX he carried 3 times for 17 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 6 yards and did not score.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 17 games and scored 359.9 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing WR2.
He caught 119 of 163 targets for 1793 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.
That came to 9.6 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 15.1 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.
He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.
That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Both were available for 17 games that season.
Head to head
In 2025 Jaxon Smith-Njigba scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Zay Flowers 14.3, 6.9 a game between them.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba finished WR2 that year and Zay Flowers WR7.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 45 more targets than Zay Flowers, 163 to 118.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 582 more receiving yards than Zay Flowers, 1793 to 1211.
This season Jaxon Smith-Njigba holds the bigger snap share, 84 percent against 67 percent.
This season Jaxon Smith-Njigba holds the bigger target share, 36 percent against 30 percent.
Byes and availability
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is off in Week 11 and Zay Flowers in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Zay Flowers for Jaxon Smith-Njigba?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaxon Smith-Njigba projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (20.0 a game over 7 games), Zay Flowers 102 (14.6 a game over 7 games).
Should I drop Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Zay Flowers?
No. Keep Jaxon Smith-Njigba: he projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (20.0 a game over 7 games), Zay Flowers 102 (14.6 a game over 7 games).
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Jaxon Smith-Njigba playing Week 10?
- Is Zay Flowers playing Week 10?
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