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Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Nico Collins? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 11:56 AM ET.

Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Nico Collins

Start

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

WR · SEA · at LV

Market projects
20.9
recent weeks avg
LV D vs WR
33.8
11th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
92 of 100 at WR
Snap share
84%
Through Week 9
Target share
36%
Through Week 9
Sit

Nico Collins

WR · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
14.8
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs WR
29.3
12th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
42 of 100 at WR
Snap share
71%
Through Week 9
Target share
20%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Nico Collins for Jaxon Smith-Njigba?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaxon Smith-Njigba projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (20.0 a game over 7 games), Nico Collins 122 (15.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Nico Collins.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Nico Collins in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 20.9 points and Nico Collins at 14.8, a gap of 6.1. No player market is posted for Jaxon Smith-Njigba this week yet, so his 20.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (20.2, 21.4 and 21.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Nico Collins this week yet, so his 14.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (14.7 and 15.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Jaxon Smith-Njigba at ADP 5 and Nico Collins at 22.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Jaxon Smith-Njigba yet. His market-based projections were 20.2, 21.5 and 21.1 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 20.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jaxon Smith-Njigba is 0.7 touchdowns (7 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Nico Collins yet. His market-based projections were 14.7 and 15.0 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 14.8, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Nico Collins is 0.4 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Jaxon Smith-Njigba 6.1 points ahead of Nico Collins on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Jaxon Smith-Njigba and SEA visit LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LV allowed 33.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 162 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against LV.

Nico Collins and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 29.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 9 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 144 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against CLE.

By points allowed to the position, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is not on the injury report.

Nico Collins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 84 percent of SEA snaps, drew 36 percent of the targets, earned 51 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 6 against DEN: 78 of 85 snaps, 16 targets and 12 catches for 134 yards.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 7 against KC: 53 of 69 snaps, 2 carries for 13 yards, 12 targets and 9 catches for 150 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 8 against CHI: 61 of 63 snaps, 11 targets and 6 catches for 118 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 9 against ARI: 51 of 67 snaps, 10 targets and 7 catches for 51 yards.

Through Week 9, Nico Collins played 71 percent of HOU snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 25 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Nico Collins, Week 5 against TEN: 47 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards.

Nico Collins, Week 6 against JAX: 46 of 63 snaps, 1 carry for 5 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 74 yards.

Nico Collins, Week 7 against NYG: 41 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Nico Collins, Week 9 against LAC: 51 of 70 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 55 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 17 games for SEA and scored 359.9 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing WR2.

He caught 119 of 163 targets for 1793 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 1265 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Nico Collins played 15 games for HOU and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 793 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Nico Collins for Jaxon Smith-Njigba?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaxon Smith-Njigba projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (20.0 a game over 7 games), Nico Collins 122 (15.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Nico Collins.

  • Should I drop Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Nico Collins?

    No. Keep Jaxon Smith-Njigba: he projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (20.0 a game over 7 games), Nico Collins 122 (15.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Nico Collins.

Should I drop Nico Collins?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board