Should I start Josh Allen or Jaylen Warren in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Josh Allen's market-based projection is 22.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 2nd highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Jaylen Warren's market-based projection is 14.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 41st highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Allen, and the board ranks him 25th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 2.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaylen Warren, and the board ranks him 27th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 9, Josh Allen has been on the field for 99 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 273 times and thrown 8.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 42 of 273 dropbacks and scrambled 20 times.

In Week 6 against LV he completed 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 4 yards.

In Week 8 against BAL he completed 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 7 times for 30 yards.

In Week 9 against MIN he completed 21 of 31 passes for 234 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 16 yards.

Through Week 8, Jaylen Warren has been on the field for 72 percent of PIT snaps, taken 65 percent of the carries, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 25 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 3 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 36 targets have come 1.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against TB he carried 14 times for 50 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 28 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NO he carried 18 times for 101 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CLE he carried 17 times for 143 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 0 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Allen played 17 games and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He threw for 3668 yards on 460 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

That came to 27.1 attempts a game at 8.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jaylen Warren played 16 games and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He carried 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 more yards.

That came to 13.2 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 2-3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Josh Allen was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Josh Allen scored 22.0 PPR points a game and Jaylen Warren 13.6, 8.5 a game between them.

Josh Allen finished QB1 and Jaylen Warren RB17, which are two different ladders.

Josh Allen is a quarterback and Jaylen Warren a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Josh Allen is off in Week 7 and Jaylen Warren in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

8.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.