Should I start Josh Allen or Chase Brown in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Josh Allen's market-based projection is 22.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 2nd highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Chase Brown's market-based projection is 14.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 41st highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Allen, and the board ranks him 25th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 2.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chase Brown, and the board ranks him 27th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 19.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Josh Allen has been on the field for 99 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 273 times and thrown 8.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 42 of 273 dropbacks and scrambled 20 times.

In Week 6 against LV he completed 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 4 yards.

In Week 8 against BAL he completed 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 7 times for 30 yards.

In Week 9 against MIN he completed 21 of 31 passes for 234 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 16 yards.

Through Week 9, Chase Brown has been on the field for 70 percent of CIN snaps, taken 60 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 5 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 45 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against BAL he carried 11 times for 39 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against TEN he carried 12 times for 55 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against ATL he carried 9 times for 57 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Allen played 17 games and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He threw for 3668 yards on 460 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

That came to 27.1 attempts a game at 8.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Josh Allen scored 22.0 PPR points a game and Chase Brown 16.6, 5.4 a game between them.

Josh Allen finished QB1 and Chase Brown RB7, which are two different ladders.

Josh Allen is a quarterback and Chase Brown a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Josh Allen is off in Week 7 and Chase Brown in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

8.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.