Should I start Travis Kelce or J.K. Dobbins in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Travis Kelce's market-based projection is 11.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 76th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

J.K. Dobbins's market-based projection is 9.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 89th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Travis Kelce, and the board ranks him 69th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on J.K. Dobbins, and the board ranks him 71st overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Travis Kelce has been on the field for 77 percent of KC snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 19 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 6.2 air yards.

In Week 3 against MIA he caught 2 of 2 targets for 59 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against LV he caught 2 of 4 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LAC he caught 4 of 5 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, J.K. Dobbins has been on the field for 44 percent of DEN snaps, taken 57 percent of the carries, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 7 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 22 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have come 1.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against SF he carried 11 times for 40 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAC he carried 18 times for 68 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against SEA he carried 17 times for 41 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 5 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Travis Kelce played 17 games and scored 193.2 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing TE3.

He caught 76 of 108 targets for 851 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.4 targets a game, a 70 percent catch rate and 11.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 J.K. Dobbins played 10 games and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He carried 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 more yards.

That came to 15.3 carries a game at 5.0 yards a carry and 1.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Travis Kelce was available for 7 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 J.K. Dobbins scored 11.6 PPR points a game and Travis Kelce 11.4, 0.2 a game between them.

Travis Kelce finished TE3 and J.K. Dobbins RB43, which are two different ladders.

Travis Kelce is a tight end and J.K. Dobbins a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Travis Kelce is off in Week 5 and J.K. Dobbins in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.