Start J.K. Dobbins or Emanuel Wilson? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 3:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start J.K. Dobbins over Emanuel Wilson

Start

J.K. Dobbins

RB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 14.8; fantasy pts
ARI D vs RB: 20.4; 14th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 77 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 44%; Through Week 6
Target share: 5%; Through Week 6

Sit

Emanuel Wilson

RB · SEA · vs KC

Market projects: 12.3; recent weeks avg
KC D vs RB: 19.0; 11th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 52 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 39%; Through Week 6
Target share: 4%; Through Week 6

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Emanuel Wilson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Emanuel Wilson projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.7 a game over 10 games), J.K. Dobbins 93 (9.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Emanuel Wilson. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start J.K. Dobbins over Emanuel Wilson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have J.K. Dobbins at 14.8 points and Emanuel Wilson at 12.3, a gap of 2.4. J.K. Dobbins's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Emanuel Wilson this week yet, so his 12.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (10.0, 14.2 and 12.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on J.K. Dobbins is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.8 fantasy points for J.K. Dobbins, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for J.K. Dobbins is 59 rushing yards and 0.6 touchdowns (12 and 10 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Emanuel Wilson yet. His market-based projections were 10.0, 14.2 and 12.7 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 12.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Emanuel Wilson is 0-1 touchdowns (13 market sources).

That puts J.K. Dobbins 2.4 points ahead of Emanuel Wilson on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

J.K. Dobbins and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 20.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 107 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ARI and caught passes for 25 more yards.

Emanuel Wilson and SEA host KC on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

KC allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 64 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 39 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, J.K. Dobbins has the softer matchup.

Injury status

J.K. Dobbins is not on the injury report.

Emanuel Wilson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, J.K. Dobbins played 44 percent of DEN snaps, took 57 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 3 against LAR: 33 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 49 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 4 against SF: 21 of 65 snaps, 11 carries for 40 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 5 against LAC: 32 of 62 snaps, 18 carries for 68 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 6 against SEA: 31 of 60 snaps, 17 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Emanuel Wilson played 39 percent of SEA snaps, took 54 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Emanuel Wilson, Week 3 against WAS: 24 of 67 snaps, 9 carries for 14 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Emanuel Wilson, Week 4 against LAC: 36 of 60 snaps, 21 carries for 81 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 39 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Emanuel Wilson, Week 5 against SF: 37 of 63 snaps, 20 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards, 1 touchdown.

Emanuel Wilson, Week 6 against DEN: 27 of 85 snaps, 14 carries for 52 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, J.K. Dobbins played 10 games for DEN and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He ran 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Emanuel Wilson played 17 games for GB and scored 94.5 PPR points, 5.6 a game, finishing RB49.

He ran 125 times for 496 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 17 targets for 99 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Emanuel Wilson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Emanuel Wilson projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.7 a game over 10 games), J.K. Dobbins 93 (9.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Emanuel Wilson. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Emanuel Wilson for J.K. Dobbins?
No. Keep Emanuel Wilson: he projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.7 a game over 10 games), J.K. Dobbins 93 (9.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Emanuel Wilson.