Should I start Ted Hurst III or John Metchie III in Week 7?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ted Hurst III, and the board ranks him 199th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on John Metchie III, and the board ranks him 212th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Ted Hurst III is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 12 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for John Metchie III is 0.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 13 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Ted Hurst III's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Ted Hurst III has been on the field for 59 percent of TB snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 16.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, John Metchie III has been on the field for 35 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 19 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 3 of 5 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 2 of 3 targets for 24 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Ted Hurst III is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 John Metchie III played 16 games and scored 71.9 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing WR87.

He caught 33 of 48 targets for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 3.0 targets a game, a 69 percent catch rate and 8.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 43 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Ted Hurst III holds the bigger snap share, 59 percent against 35 percent.

This season Ted Hurst III holds the bigger target share, 12 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Ted Hurst III is off in Week 10 and John Metchie III in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.