Start Germie Bernard or Ted Hurst III? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 11:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Germie Bernard over Ted Hurst III

Start

Germie Bernard

WR · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 13.1; fantasy pts
NO D vs WR: 31.8; 16th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 94 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 57%; Through Week 6
Target share: 15%; Through Week 6

Sit

Ted Hurst III

WR · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 4.0; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs WR: 29.4; 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 32 of 100 at WR

Should I drop Ted Hurst III for Germie Bernard?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Germie Bernard projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (5.7 a game over 10 games), Ted Hurst III 29 (2.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Germie Bernard over Ted Hurst III.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Germie Bernard over Ted Hurst III in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Germie Bernard at 13.1 points and Ted Hurst III at 4.0, a gap of 9.0. No player market is posted for Ted Hurst III this week yet, so his 4.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (4.3, 4.3 and 3.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 13.1 fantasy points for Germie Bernard, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Germie Bernard is 55 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (11, 10 and 13 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Ted Hurst III yet. His market-based projections were 4.3, 4.3 and 3.5 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 4.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Ted Hurst III is 0.2 touchdowns (12 market sources).

That puts Germie Bernard 9.0 points ahead of Ted Hurst III on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Germie Bernard and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 31.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 150 yards and a touchdown a game against NO.

Ted Hurst III and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, Germie Bernard has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Germie Bernard is not on the injury report.

Ted Hurst III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Germie Bernard played 57 percent of PIT snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Germie Bernard, Week 3 against CIN: 17 of 62 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 14 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 4 against CLE: 29 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 5 against IND: 55 of 60 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 9 targets and 6 catches for 80 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 6 against TB: 74 of 79 snaps, 12 targets and 11 catches for 87 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Ted Hurst III for Germie Bernard?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Germie Bernard projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (5.7 a game over 10 games), Ted Hurst III 29 (2.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Germie Bernard over Ted Hurst III.
Should I drop Germie Bernard for Ted Hurst III?
No. Keep Germie Bernard: he projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (5.7 a game over 10 games), Ted Hurst III 29 (2.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Germie Bernard over Ted Hurst III.