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Should I start Xavier Hutchinson or John Metchie III in Week 7?

Updated Oct 22, 5:21 AM ET.

Start Xavier Hutchinson: 42 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against John Metchie III's 42 percent of the snaps and 11 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR55 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Market-based projection
3.6 pts a game

WR84 · CAR · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
212

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The gap

  • Board size316 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Xavier Hutchinson, and the board ranks him 173rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on John Metchie III, and the board ranks him 212th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Xavier Hutchinson's market-based projection is 3.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 150th highest figure of the 215 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for John Metchie III is 0.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 13 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

John Metchie III's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Xavier Hutchinson has been on the field for 54 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 1 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 11.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against DAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TEN he caught 4 of 5 targets for 65 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against JAX he caught 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, John Metchie III has been on the field for 35 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 19 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 3 of 5 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 2 of 3 targets for 24 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.

He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 12.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 John Metchie III played 16 games and scored 71.9 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing WR87.

He caught 33 of 48 targets for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 3.0 targets a game, a 69 percent catch rate and 8.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 43 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Xavier Hutchinson was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Xavier Hutchinson scored 5.8 PPR points a game and John Metchie III 4.5, 1.3 a game between them.

Xavier Hutchinson finished WR64 that year and John Metchie III WR87.

Xavier Hutchinson had 9 more targets than John Metchie III, 57 to 48.

Xavier Hutchinson had 154 more receiving yards than John Metchie III, 428 to 274.

This season Xavier Hutchinson holds the bigger snap share, 54 percent against 35 percent.

This season Xavier Hutchinson holds the bigger target share, 17 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Xavier Hutchinson is off in Week 8 and John Metchie III in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

John Metchie III has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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