Should I start Marvin Mims Jr. or Xavier Hutchinson in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Marvin Mims Jr.'s market-based projection is 3.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 141st highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Xavier Hutchinson's market-based projection is 3.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 145th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Marvin Mims Jr., and the board ranks him 168th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Xavier Hutchinson, and the board ranks him 171st overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Marvin Mims Jr. has been on the field for 23 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 36 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 19 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 5.7 air yards.

In Week 4 against SF he caught 1 of 3 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAC he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against SEA he caught 2 of 4 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Xavier Hutchinson has been on the field for 54 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 1 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 11.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against DAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TEN he caught 4 of 5 targets for 65 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against JAX he caught 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Marvin Mims Jr. played 15 games and scored 93.0 PPR points, 6.2 a game, finishing WR66.

He caught 37 of 51 targets for 322 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 3.4 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 8.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 35 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.

He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 12.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Xavier Hutchinson was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Marvin Mims Jr. scored 6.2 PPR points a game and Xavier Hutchinson 5.8, 0.4 a game between them.

Marvin Mims Jr. finished WR66 that year and Xavier Hutchinson WR64.

Xavier Hutchinson had 6 more targets than Marvin Mims Jr., 57 to 51.

Xavier Hutchinson had 106 more receiving yards than Marvin Mims Jr., 428 to 322.

This season Xavier Hutchinson holds the bigger snap share, 54 percent against 23 percent.

This season Xavier Hutchinson holds the bigger target share, 17 percent against 8 percent.

Byes and availability

Marvin Mims Jr. is off in Week 10 and Xavier Hutchinson in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.