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Should I start Marvin Harrison Jr. or Josh Downs in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 2:21 PM ET.

Start Josh Downs: 84 percent of the snaps and 19 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Marvin Harrison Jr.'s 21 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR20 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Market-based projection
6.8 pts a game

WR61 · IND · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 1-7

Market-based projection
7.8 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
147

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The gap

  • Board size302 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Marvin Harrison Jr., and the board ranks him 39th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 19; 2QB: ADP 41.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 147th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Marvin Harrison Jr.'s market-based projection is 6.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 4 market sources. That is the 49th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 1.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Josh Downs's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 7, Marvin Harrison Jr. has been on the field for 21 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 20.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against NYG he caught 1 of 4 targets for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 64 third down targets, had 0 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 10.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against TEN he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against MIN he caught 2 of 4 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against JAX he caught 4 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Marvin Harrison Jr. played 12 games and scored 127.8 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR49.

He caught 41 of 73 targets for 608 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 6.1 targets a game, a 56 percent catch rate and 14.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Josh Downs was available for 4 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Marvin Harrison Jr. scored 10.7 PPR points a game and Josh Downs 8.5, 2.1 a game between them.

Marvin Harrison Jr. finished WR49 that year and Josh Downs WR44.

Josh Downs had 15 more targets than Marvin Harrison Jr., 88 to 73.

Marvin Harrison Jr. had 42 more receiving yards than Josh Downs, 608 to 566.

This season Josh Downs holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 21 percent.

This season Josh Downs holds the bigger target share, 20 percent against 14 percent.

Byes and availability

Marvin Harrison Jr. is off in Week 8 and Josh Downs in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Josh Downs has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Josh Downs?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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