Should I start Ted Hurst or Josh Downs in Week 7?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ted Hurst, and the board ranks him 171st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 174th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Ted Hurst is 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 12 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 10 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Ted Hurst's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Ted Hurst has been on the field for 59 percent of TB snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 16.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 10.7 air yards.

In Week 4 against WAS he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TEN he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Ted Hurst is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Josh Downs holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 59 percent.

This season Josh Downs holds the bigger target share, 21 percent against 12 percent.

Byes and availability

Ted Hurst is off in Week 10 and Josh Downs in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.