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Should I start Justice Hill or Julius Chestnut in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 6:16 PM ET.

Start Justice Hill: he has been on the field this season, 42 percent of the snaps, and Julius Chestnut has no snap on record yet. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB54 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs rush yds line 3-3

Market-based projection
4.6 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
159

RB56 · TEN · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Overall rank
164

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The gap

  • Board size314 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 159th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Julius Chestnut, and the board ranks him 164th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 1.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 10 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Julius Chestnut is 0.7 PPR points a game off 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is 60 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Justice Hill's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Justice Hill has been on the field for 42 percent of BAL snaps, taken 10 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 0 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have come 1.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against TEN he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 4 times for 73 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 0 times for 0 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

The usage feed holds no snap or target counts for Julius Chestnut this season.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Julius Chestnut played 17 games and scored 4.0 PPR points, 0.2 a game, finishing RB125.

He carried 11 times for 40 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 more yards.

That came to 0.6 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Julius Chestnut was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Justice Hill scored 6.5 PPR points a game and Julius Chestnut 0.2, 6.3 a game between them.

Justice Hill finished RB60 that year and Julius Chestnut RB125.

Justice Hill had 7 more carries than Julius Chestnut, 18 to 11.

Justice Hill had 21 more catches than Julius Chestnut, 21 to 0.

Byes and availability

Justice Hill is off in Week 13. No bye is listed for Julius Chestnut.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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