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Should I start Matthew Stafford or Justice Hill in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 11:56 AM ET.

Start Matthew Stafford: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Justice Hill's 49 percent of the snaps and 19 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Justice Hill for Matthew Stafford?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Matthew Stafford projects 111 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 7 games), Justice Hill 33 (4.7 a game over 7 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB30 · LAR · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 4-5

Market-based projection
15.6 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
180

RB44 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs rush yds line 5-4

Market-based projection
6.6 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
184

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Matthew Stafford, and the board ranks him 180th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 184th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Matthew Stafford is 0.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 2.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Matthew Stafford's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 360 times and thrown 7.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 50 of 360 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 7 against LV he completed 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.

In Week 8 against LAC he completed 17 of 25 passes for 157 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

In Week 9 against WAS he completed 26 of 42 passes for 228 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Through Week 9, Justice Hill has been on the field for 44 percent of BAL snaps, taken 13 percent of the carries, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 72 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 49 two minute targets.

His 28 targets have come 1.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 3 times for 15 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against JAX he carried 9 times for 85 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Matthew Stafford was available for 7 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and Justice Hill 6.5, 14.6 a game between them.

Matthew Stafford finished QB3 and Justice Hill RB60, which are two different ladders.

Matthew Stafford is a quarterback and Justice Hill a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Matthew Stafford is off in Week 11 and Justice Hill in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justice Hill for Matthew Stafford?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Matthew Stafford projects 111 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 7 games), Justice Hill 33 (4.7 a game over 7 games).

  • Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Justice Hill?

    No. Keep Matthew Stafford: he projects 111 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.9 a game over 7 games), Justice Hill 33 (4.7 a game over 7 games).

Should I drop Matthew Stafford?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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