Start Justice Hill or Seth McGowan? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start Justice Hill over Seth McGowan in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Justice Hill at 5.3 points and Seth McGowan at 5.2, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.6, 4.8 and 6.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Seth McGowan this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (2.7, 6.0 and 7.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 4.6, 4.8 and 6.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.3, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Seth McGowan yet. His market-based projections were 2.7, 6.0 and 7.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Justice Hill 0.1 points ahead of Seth McGowan on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Justice Hill and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Seth McGowan and IND host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 41 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Seth McGowan has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Seth McGowan is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Justice Hill played 44 percent of BAL snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 8 against BUF: 25 of 51 snaps, 3 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 9 against JAX: 29 of 56 snaps, 9 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Seth McGowan played 22 percent of IND snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Seth McGowan, Week 6 against TEN: 19 of 83 snaps, 4 carries for 27 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 7 against MIN: 20 of 58 snaps, 11 carries for 46 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 8 against JAX: 15 of 61 snaps, 5 carries for 29 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 9 against DAL: 20 of 64 snaps, 6 carries for 45 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -3 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start Austin Ekeler over Justice Hill.
• Start Corey Kiner over Justice Hill.
• Start Devin Singletary over Justice Hill.
• Start Austin Ekeler over Seth McGowan.
• Start Corey Kiner over Seth McGowan.
• Start Devin Singletary over Seth McGowan.