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Should I start Tyler Shough or Kaelon Black in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 10:16 PM ET.

Start Tyler Shough: 99 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Kaelon Black's 31 percent of the snaps and 34 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Kaelon Black for Tyler Shough?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Shough projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Kaelon Black 42 (5.2 a game over 8 games).

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Your next move

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB5 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 6-2

Overall rank
58

RB20 · SF · bye 8

Overall rank
59

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The gap

  • Board size310 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Shough, and the board ranks him 58th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 24.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaelon Black, and the board ranks him 59th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tyler Shough is 19.0 PPR points a game off 3 markets across 6 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 7.3 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 10 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tyler Shough's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Tyler Shough has been on the field for 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 341 times and thrown 7.7 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 49 of 341 dropbacks and scrambled 14 times.

In Week 6 against NYG he completed 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 33 yards.

In Week 7 against PIT he completed 30 of 38 passes for 278 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 7 yards.

In Week 9 against CLE he completed 21 of 35 passes for 265 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 9 times for 52 yards.

Through Week 9, Kaelon Black has been on the field for 29 percent of SF snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 57 third down targets, had 3 of its 28 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against WAS he carried 8 times for 34 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he carried 12 times for 63 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for -4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LV he carried 11 times for 70 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Shough played 11 games and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He threw for 2384 yards on 327 attempts with 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 29.7 attempts a game at 7.3 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Kaelon Black is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Side by side

Tyler Shough is a quarterback and Kaelon Black a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 8, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kaelon Black for Tyler Shough?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Shough projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Kaelon Black 42 (5.2 a game over 8 games).

  • Should I drop Tyler Shough for Kaelon Black?

    No. Keep Tyler Shough: he projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Kaelon Black 42 (5.2 a game over 8 games).

Should I drop Kaelon Black?Should I drop Tyler Shough?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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