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Start Tyler Shough or C.J. Stroud? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:11 PM ET.

Start Tyler Shough over C.J. Stroud

Shough projects lower, 16.6 to 17.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 147 for Shough, 185 for Stroud.

Start

Tyler Shough

QB · NO · vs CAR

Market projects
16.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs QB
17.4
15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
97 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9
Sit

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB
14.8
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 9

Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Tyler Shough?

Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Tyler Shough 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Tyler Shough over C.J. Stroud.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Tyler Shough over C.J. Stroud in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Tyler Shough at 16.6 points and C.J. Stroud at 17.4, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Tyler Shough still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 147 against 185, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Tyler Shough this week yet, so his 16.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (16.0 and 17.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (17.8 and 16.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 17.8 and 16.9 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Tyler Shough yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 17.3 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 16.6, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts C.J. Stroud 0.7 points ahead of Tyler Shough on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

C.J. Stroud and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 14.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 9 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Tyler Shough and NO host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 17.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Shough has the softer matchup.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Tyler Shough is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud played 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and threw an average of 9.7 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 7 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 9 against LAC: 62 of 70 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Through Week 9, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 341 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 5 against MIN: 45 of 45 snaps, 16 of 25 passes for 96 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Tyler Shough, Week 6 against NYG: 70 of 72 snaps, 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 33 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 7 against PIT: 57 of 57 snaps, 30 of 38 passes for 278 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 7 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 9 against CLE: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 265 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 52 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Tyler Shough?

    Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Tyler Shough 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Tyler Shough over C.J. Stroud.

  • Should I drop Tyler Shough for C.J. Stroud?

    Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Shough projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and C.J. Stroud 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Tyler Shough over C.J. Stroud.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board